The last housing crash, Part 2

Here's part two of our region-by-region review of the Nineties property slump. Brace yourselves!

In the first part of this article, I looked at how the last property crash panned out across the UK and in six of its twelve regions. For the record, here's how the average price fell over the entire nation:

High/Low

House price (£)

Q2 1989

69,850

Q3 1995

61,115

Difference (£)

-8,735

Change (%)

-12.5

Now let's look at the highs and lows of the remaining six regions:

South East

High/Low

House price (£)

Q1 1989

106,179

Q4 1992

73,556

Difference (£)

-32,623

Change (%)

-30.7

It may come as a surprise to many people in the affluent South East just how steeply prices fell in the last bust. In under four years, prices dropped by more than three-tenths (31%), plunging many homeowners into negative equity (when a property is worth less than the mortgage secured on it). So much for the South East being a safe haven when times are tough!

South West

High/Low

House price (£)

Q1 1989

85,634

Q4 1992

60,522

Difference (£)

-25,112

Change (%)

-29.3

The South West followed an identical path to its neighbour the South East, peaking in early 1989 and bottoming out at the end of 1992. However, house prices fell slightly less in percentage terms, but were still down nearly three-tenths (29%) in the Nineties collapse.

Scotland

Like Northern Ireland, Scotland pretty much avoided the last property plunge. Sure, prices wobbled about a bit throughout the Nineties, but the trend never headed resolutely downwards. For the record, prices declined as follows:

Year

Annual

decline (%)

1992

-3.0

1994

-0.1

1997

-2.1

2000

-4.3

So, Scots managed to avoid the worst of the UK property depression, but this may not happen again this time around.

West Midlands

High/Low

House price (£)

Q2 1989

68,931

Q2 1995

60,441

Difference (£)

-8,490

Change (%)

-12.3

Of all the regions of the UK, the West Midlands most closely reflects the results for the property market as a whole. Prices fell closely in line with the UK average, making this region perhaps the most ‘average' of all during the last crash.

Wales

High/Low

House price (£)

Q1 1990

57,453

Q2 1995

49,674

Difference (£)

-7,779

Change (%)

-13.5

Prices didn't peak in Wales until Spring 1990, and then fell slightly more than the UK as a whole until they began to recover in late 1995. There's nothing remarkable to report here.

Yorkshire & Humberside

High/Low

House price (£)

Q1 1991

55,928

Q3 1995

50,249

Difference (£)

-5,679

Change (%)

-10.2

Lastly, we come to the twelfth of our regions. Yorkshire folk have a well-deserved reputation for financial prudence. This may explains why Y&H it performed much better than any other English region, with prices declining by little more than a tenth (10%).

So, what conclusions can we draw from the above data? All it tells us is that the UK is far from being a single, homogeneous housing market. Regional differences will always prevail, because housing markets are primarily local beasts. Furthermore, this look back at the past doesn't help us to forecast the future. Then again, as Mark Twain is said to have remarked,

"History does not repeat itself, but it does rhyme."

More: Find your ideal mortgage via lovemoney.com | House prices double every 7 years? 

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