How Britain beat the world in 2011

While shares crashed worldwide last yeare, London was a relative safe haven for investors!
Last year was one of the most difficult on record for Britain, its people and businesses.
Following the global financial crash of 2007/09, our economy has struggled to return to growth. Indeed, in the first three quarters of 2011, UK GDP (gross domestic product, our total national output) grew by just 0.5%, 0.1% and 0.6% respectively.
Not doing so badly
Despite these economic setbacks, Britain still has a few things to be grateful for.
For example, unlike the US (and, very soon, France), UK government bonds -- known as Gilts -- are still rated AAA by credit-rating agencies. Thanks to this top rating, Britain can borrow money remarkably cheaply, paying just 2.05% a year to borrow for an entire decade.
What's more, in spite of growing fears over slowing global growth and the euro-zone crisis, the UK stock market performed relatively well last year. In 2011, the London Stock Exchange's main index, the FTSE 100 (which tracks the value of 100 elite, blue-chip companies), slipped by 5.6%. The mid-market FTSE 250 index fared worse, down 12.6% in 2011.
Britain beats Europe
As you can see from the table below, UK-listed shares did much better than their European counterparts and some other foreign stocks in 2011:
Country |
Market index
|
2011 change |
UK |
FTSE 100 |
-5.6% |
UK |
FTSE 250 |
-12.6% |
Spain |
IBEX 35 |
-14% |
Germany |
DAX |
-15% |
France |
CAC 40 |
-17% |
Japan |
Nikkei 225 |
-17% |
China |
SSE Composite |
-22% |
Italy |
MIB 30 |
-26% |
Greece |
ASE |
-61% |
In 2011, the stock markets of Spain, Germany and France all fell roughly a sixth, down between 14% and 17%. To a greater or lesser degree, each was affected by the ongoing turmoil surrounding the future of the euro.
The Japanese stock market (the world's third-largest) also fell by a sixth (17%) in 2011. It was hit particularly hard following the earthquake, tsunami and nuclear meltdown of 11 March. After this tragic natural disaster, the Nikkei 225 index fell by almost 18% in three days.
Likewise, the Chinese stock market -- which grew rapidly in the Noughties to become the second-largest in the world -- fell steeply in 2011, down 22%. This was partly due to a slowdown of China's rapid growth rate, plus fears that its property bubble is set to burst.
Italy's stock market fell by more than a quarter (26%) last year, with Italian banking shares crashing on fears over their solvency, given Italy's massive state borrowing of €1.9 trillion.
Lastly, the Athens stock market crashed by more than three-fifths (61%) last year, as Greece struggled to secure sufficiently large EU bailouts to ensure its continued financial survival.
America wins once more
Across the Atlantic, the world's largest stock market easily managed to beat its rivals in 2011.
Although the main S&P 500 index was almost exactly unchanged last year, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (which includes such corporate giants as Coca-Cola, General Electric, IBM and Microsoft) finished the year up 5.5%. Had it not been for its 12% rise in the fourth quarter (its biggest quarterly jump since 2003), the Dow Jones would have been down for the year.
Despite the Dow's improvement, 2011 saw a huge range in share-price performances among its members. McDonald's was the Dow's star performer in 2011, up nearly a third (31%), while Bank of America shares crashed almost three-fifths (58%).
Finishing this US round-up, the high-tech NASDAQ index -- which includes Apple, Google, Microsoft and other Internet giants -- closed 2011 down 1.8%.
What next?
In summary, the UK stock market did remarkably well in 2011, all things considered. Even so, blue-chip shares continue to display signs of value, with 15 big, FTSE 100 businesses paying yearly dividends to their shareholders of 5% or above.
Then again, investors still have a lot to worry about this year, particularly the situation in the euro zone, plus slowing growth in China and other emerging-market economies. In addition, geopolitical instability (especially in Iran and North Korea) will make markets nervous, as will the US presidential election in November.
Therefore, with so many global uncertainties, stock markets are unlikely to see any strong upward trends throughout 2012. Nevertheless, investors should continue to rummage around the stock market's bargain basement for this year's potential winners!
More: Tax-free ISAs are great for investors | The absolute wrong way to invest in the stock market | The UK's best pension plan
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Comments
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Nickpike, anyone googling the Fabian Society is likely to fall asleep rather than the opposite. You're not exactly demonstrating political acumen with comments like that. Fabians? Next you'll be warning us about the dangers of the Co-op.
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For the last 1000 plus years Kings, Caesars, Presidents and Prime Ministers have learned how to inflate their currencies by reducing the amount of gold in each coin or printing more money. As long as their subjects didn’t discover the fraud then asset values would rise. He who holds the gold, or he who prints the money, makes the rules - at least for the time being. Since printing paper money is nothing short of counterfeiting, the issuer of the international currency must always be the country with the military might to guarantee control over the system. This magnificent scheme seems the perfect system for obtaining perpetual wealth for the country that issues the de facto world currency. The one problem, however, is that such a system destroys the character of the counterfeiting nation's people. And this destroys the incentive to save and produce, while encouraging debt and runaway welfare. When paper money is rejected, or when gold runs out, wealth and political stability are lost. The country then must go from living beyond its means to living beneath its means, until the economic and political systems adjust to the new rules - rules no longer written by those who ran the now defunct printing press. Previously, it all ended on August 15, 1971, when Nixon closed the gold window and refused to pay out any of our (US) remaining 280 million ounces of gold. In essence, we declared our insolvency and everyone recognized some other monetary system had to be devised in order to bring stability to the markets. During the 1970s the dollar nearly collapsed, as oil prices surged and gold skyrocketed to $800 an ounce. By 1979 interest rates of 21% were required to rescue the system. The pressure on the dollar in the 1970s, in spite of the benefits accrued to it, reflected reckless budget deficits and monetary inflation during the 1960s. It is an unbelievable benefit to us to import valuable goods and export depreciating dollars. The exporting countries have become addicted to our purchases for their economic growth. This dependency makes them allies in continuing the fraud, and their participation keeps the dollar's value artificially high. If this system were workable long term, American citizens would never have to work again. We too could enjoy "bread and circuses" just as the Romans did, but their gold finally ran out and the inability of Rome to continue to plunder conquered nations brought an end to her empire.
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Don't bring Thatcher into this. That was decades ago and Labour could have sorted things out. In 1997, 20% GDP was manufacturing which dropped to 12.7% GDP at the last general election. You can't blame Thatcher for that. She did tame the unions who are hell-bent on destroying the UK, along with their mates in the Fabian society. Google and research the Fabians. That will cause serious loss of sleep.
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15 January 2012