Inflation baskets: how eBooks and blueberries affect our money

The Office for National Statistics has unveiled this year's changes to the 'shopping baskets' it uses to monitor inflation. Here's why this matters.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) has made its annual changes to the goods and services it includes in its calculations of inflation for the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) and Retail Prices Index (RPI). This is important as they influence changes in taxes, benefits and other things that directly impact our finances.

Each year, the ONS reviews its ‘shopping baskets’ to try to reflect our shopping habits. It measures price inflation of 700 goods and services, for which it obtains 180,000 price quotations from 150 areas across the UK.

In addition, the baskets are ‘weighted’ to account for the fact that we buy more of some items, such as potatoes.

It also only includes items if we spend over £400 million a year on them, although that amount doesn’t have to be spent on the items themselves; again they can be representative of a broader market. So, for example, the ONS measures the broader musical instruments market through sales of acoustic guitars.

And if we spend less than £100 million on an item, out it goes.

What’s changed this year?

Here are some of the major changes to this year’s baskets.

In

Out

eBooks

Bottles of Champagne bought on licensed premises

Digital television recorders/receivers

Freeview boxes

Blueberries

Round lettuces

Vegetable stir fry ingredients

Pair of basin taps

Non-disposable charcoal barbecue

Gas barbecue

Daily disposable contact lenses

Soft contact lenses

In most of the above cases, items have been removed due to falling sales and replaced by items with growing sales. In other cases, such as the removal of Freeview boxes and the addition of digital television recorders and receivers (which includes Freeview boxes), it reflects changes in technology.

You can see all of the changes and a detailed explanation of the methodology behind the baskets at the ONS website.

How the baskets affect us

So the baskets are an interesting gauge of our changing spending habits. But what effect do they directly have on our finances? Well, quite a lot, actually.

These calculations of inflation don’t just tell us how the cost of living is changing – they also play a big part in fiscal policy and the decision-making processes of institutions like the Bank of England's interest rate-setting Monetary Policy Committee.

So the composition of these baskets, and getting them as accurate as possible to represent the spending patterns of ordinary Brits, is hugely significant to all of us, whether we are savers, borrowers, or a little of both.

And there’s an even more direct impact as things such as benefits, pensions, tax allowances and train fares are pegged to either the CPI or RPI measures of inflation.

Here’s a rundown of those links.

Index

Items linked to it

CPI

Employee National Insurance contributions

Basic State Pension (if inflation is highest of the elements in the so-called ‘triple lock’)

Jobseekers’ Allowance

Disability benefits

Maternity benefits

Income Support

Incapacity benefit

Tax Credits

Child Benefit

Inheritance Tax

Capital Gains Tax

Public sector pensions

Annual ISA allowance

Many private sector pension schemes

RPI

Personal Income Tax allowance

Index-linked Government bonds (gilts)

Index-linked corporate bonds

Index-linked savings certificates (eg NS&I’s)

Some final salary pensions

Water rates

Alcohol, tobacco, gambling and fuel duties

Regulated rail fares (+ additional annual increase on top)

Student loan interest rates

Of course, many of the above items have been increased above inflation, below inflation or frozen since the Coalition Government came to power. One of its most controversial moves was to change the way benefits were 'uprated' for inflation to be in line with the lower CPI rather than the higher RPI.

So while the changes to the baskets may attract all manner of witty headlines, they do have a very serious side.

More on the economy

What the UK credit rating downgrade means for our money

Gilt market won't crash in 2013

Benefit reform: all you need to know about the Universal Credit

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