Don't be suckered into buying property

Harvey Jones thinks the UK property market is a desperate old hag living off its glory years while demanding an unseemly price for its favours.
As a long-time property owner, I've always had a strong paternal concern for the fate of first-time buyers.
Friends who missed the opportunity to buy property when it was still affordable ended up buying rubbish flats in dodgy areas at unmentionable prices - if they could afford to buy at all.
I benefited disproportionately by getting in early, and would have been £200,000 better off if I hadn't listened to my girlfriend.
The great property bubble created a grotesque chasm between winners and losers, which is why I gleefully cried I want a house price crash! when the credit crunch first appeared.
And that is why I have been hailing the Buy-to-let apocalypse and claiming that struggling Buy-to-let investors are getting what they deserve.
Because I feel for all you property virgins, hovering nervously on the fringes of a still over-priced housing market, wondering dare I, should I, can I?
Right now, I believe you shouldn't, because although the recession has made property a bit cheaper, it isn't cheap enough.
It still costs too much!
The average first-time buyer property has fallen slightly since the start of the year, by nearly £6,000 to £154,205. But with finance tight, that still leaves the average first-timer needing a £55,700 deposit to be eligible for the best mortgage deals.
That is down from £66,900 in January, but still absolutely outrageous. When I bought my first flat in south-east London back in 1997, my deposit was just £10,000 on a property valued at £87,000.
The typical first-time buyer property now costs 4.8 times the income of the average buyer, down from 5.3 a year ago, according to figures from FindaProperty.com. But that is still above its long-term average of around four times income.
In short, property is still expensive. That's why more than half of all first-time buyers can only make that step with help from the Bank of Mom and Dad, the lender of last resort.
And that ain't right either.
You always remember the first time...
Buying your first home should be a special moment. You don't want to pop your property cherry in a dingy ex-local authority flat with a squalid past and suspicious stains on the walls.
Nor do you want your first experience to be so traumatic that you never quite get over the shock.
When you first commit yourself to a property, it should be something you really, really love, with soft lighting and a comfy bedroom, and you should want to stay together for years.
The opposite of what happened to my friend Casey, who plighted her property troth in a ground floor studio in Shepherd's Bush, within sniffing distance of the communal wheelie bins and easy reach of burglars, and has regretted her decision ever since.
Home and buyer should also be financially compatible, so you don't end up squandering your salary on the mortgage.
Don't get used and abused
My advice to would-be first-time buyers is this: Shun the property market. Snub it. It's a desperate old hag living off its glory years while demanding an unseemly price for its favours. Ignore the wiles of estate agents, desperate to maintain their immoral earnings.
You're young, you've got your future ahead of you, don't be lured into some squalid back street or crumbling tenement block, hold on for something much better.
In the long run, the property market needs you more than you need the property market. So start saving. Build your deposit. Take your time. Watch property prices wither and shrink, and then pounce.
Property is going down
Don't mortgage yourself to the hilt just to maintain the illusion that the UK's ropey old housing stock is among the most valuable in the world.
Those days are now over, and good riddance. You've adjusted to the new reality, where rising taxes, falling state spending and soaring education costs means that, financially speaking, It's rubbish to be young.
So has the rest of the economy. Look at the collapsing pound. It knows the game is up. So does the job market. Even the soggy old Lib Dems are openly talking about "savage" cuts to state spending. House prices will fall again, only the property market remains in denial. Don't contribute to this self-serving illusion.
The living dead
Even though I'm a homeowner, I don't believe I am arguing against my own interests. If property prices did fall across the board, it wouldn't make any practical difference to me. I'm happy where I live now, but if I wanted to trade up, my next property would also be cheaper.
More realistic prices would make the property market sustainable, which would be better for me in the longer run as well.
Like vampires, the housing market needs the fresh blood of property virgins. Don't be suckered in just yet, or you'll get it in the neck, especially if inflation and interest rates start rising.
The property market doesn't deserve you - yet. You can do a lot better, and if you can be a bit patient, you probably will.
Compare mortgages at lovemoney.com
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What i find interesting are some of the bears on property. Nick Pike is like MR Angry and i don't even read his posts anymore as he is far too 2 dimensional and I think he has a hidden agenda and reason for "wanting" prices to crash ! People like Nick refuse to see the events occurring such as the return of credit and a softening in lending criteria. S with Mr Cliff D'Arcy people like Nick are hoping to make money from a crash ie. from someone else's misery. You can't teach these people anything they "know" actually they don't... l look at JackMaxDaniels post. " he "knows" but look at his post his thinking if you can call it that is all over the place especially the millions of unemployed he sees being out on the streets.. He wants a return t0 that old chesnut 3.5 times salary but doesn't have the wit to understand why this is a redundant formula and I can;t be bothered to explain it yet again. FTB's don;t make the mistake of basing your decisions on the views of these people. I don't know what's going to happen, I see a lot of positive signs re property and negatives too.....what i am sure of in the long run property will always come good in a country obsessed by ownership and with little faith in pensions anymore....
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For first time buyers; NOW is the best time to buy! Why would you leave it until after the 31st Dec?(when stamp duty limits are likely to drop well below the average FTB house prices). And yeah, prices are too high... but so what? You can always offer less than the asking price... You may find yourself a bargain. Prices are always going to be based on supply & demand, so if you can afford it and you feel that you could pay a fair price for a property, then put an offer in. Good homes in an over populated/growing country are always going to be hard to find, so get ahead of the rest of the crowd and stop wasting money on your landlords mortgage (you know they won't repair your bathroom or give your full deposit back anyway, so get out)
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Finance all comes down to disposable income. There are two reasons why the property market has risen in the past. One is cheap mortgages and the other is the fact food and other consumables have become less and less a proportion of our disposable income. Cheap mortgages are finished, we'll be paying for the excesses of the banking industry for 10 to 20 years. Due to an ever increasing population and a deflating currency, price pressure on "other consumables" will only increase in price. Lastly, the up and coming generation simply does not have the financial clout of previous generations due to education fees. Housing prices will fall and keep falling until they go back or below 3 to 3.5 times average earnings. To think otherwise is to ignore the inevitable. Rental prices are irrelevant if people can't pay them. ie where are the unemployed going to live ?
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24 October 2009