Stock market chaos: what should you do now?

Black Monday wiped huge sums off stock markets across the globe. Is now the time to sell?
Monday was a terrible day for stock markets across the world.
The main catalyst for this latest ‘Black Monday’ was China – the Shanghai composite dropped a whopping 8.5%, its worst single-day performance since 2007, prompted by poor growth figures. It has since fallen 7.6% on Tuesday.
It wasn’t just the Chinese market that was hit though – frenetic selling took place in markets across the world, with the FTSE dropping 4.7%, its worst one-day performance since 2009, with drops in the US and across Europe too.
So what does such turmoil mean for your money? And what should you do now?
Don’t look away now
If you have a Stocks & Shares ISA or a private pension, then looking at your balance today may be a little bruising. Chances are you have taken something of a hit.
It can be easy to get carried away with the red numbers, to be tempted to sell it all and run to cash or gold, much less volatile homes for your money.
But selling amid market panic is not a great move. Context is important. The FTSE has had a terrible time of late, but it’s not that long ago that it was hitting new record highs. And the FTSE has had a very strong few years – if you invested five years ago, you’ll still be sitting on a profit of around 13% today.
Black Monday was a bad day. The FTSE has had a ropey few weeks. That doesn’t mean it’s time to run away though.
Open a Stocks & Shares ISA today
Taking stock
So what should you do, besides not panic?
Firstly, take stock of where you money is invested. Are you sufficiently diversified? Is your money entirely in stocks and shares, or do you have some in assets that aren’t linked to the stock market? Is your money invested around the world, or just in small pockets like Europe or the emerging markets?
If you don’t feel that your money is spread around enough to cover stock market chaos like we’ve seen this week, take this opportunity to fix it!
Investing is a long-term move. There will be periods where value drops from the FTSE and other indices. But history has shown that over the long run, you are better off putting your money into stocks and shares than cash.
Nigel Green, CEO of the deVere Group, said that while investors should be vigilant of what led to Black Monday, so long as their portfolio is well diversified they should remain “cautious and consistent”.
He added: “Investors need to ask themselves ‘will stock markets be higher than this when I retire?’ Looking at financial market history, the answer is probably ‘yes’, if they have a decade or more ahead of them. So, logically they should carry on buying as markets fall.
“History teaches us that panic-selling in stock market crashes can be potentially financially disastrous for investors.”
Should I invest more?
There’s also the argument that a falling market actually presents opportunities for investors. Should you try to take advantage, spot a bargain or two?
Russ Koesterich, global chief investment strategist at BlackRock, said that the key takeaway for investors is that all of the selling has restored value in some areas of the market, particularly in Europe.
He pointed out that European equities are currently trading at roughly a 45% discount to those from the US. He added: “While European growth is likely to remain lower than in the U.S., given the size of the discount and the fact that the major risk associated with Greece has been temporarily removed, the current discount suggests European equities once again look attractive.”
What about interest rates?
According to Baker Tilly, this 'market correction' will reduce the chances of inflation rising, and with it push the chances of a Base Rate rise further back.
Rob Donaldson, head of M&A and private equity at Baker Tilly Corporate Finance, said: "We think interest rate rises have just been pushed back into 2016."
Mark Carney, the governor of the Bank of England, had previously hinted we may see our first rate rise in six years around the turn of the year, so that may no longer be the case. That's good news for mortgage borrowers, but yet more dreadful news for savers.
Open a Stocks & Shares ISA today
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Comments
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Buy. Stick to good blue chip stocks; in stuff that people will always buy whether they are feeling rich or poor. Goods and services that companies always need, recession or no recession. It is a storm in a Chinese teacup - China cannot stay in the doldrums forever. I've been waiting for this dip for a long time. It is a fantastic buying opportunity. And hold your miners and oil stocks; demand will come back soon enough. Don't be a lemming!
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What a lot of commentators have forgotten to point out is that the Chinese market is a very young market, with lots of inexperienced investors. There are millions of small investors who haven't the maturity or wisdon to buy shares. Lots of them think that the stock market is like some giant casino but one where you can't lose. Many have invested money they really need and not 'spare' money. They now realise that the stock market is not a one-way bet and prices fall as well as rise. They are panicking because it is money they cannot aford to lose. Their economy isn't doing so well at the moment, projected growth rate will be down to about 7% for next year! The UK would be very well pleased with half that growth rate.
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It's a fact that for every share sold that same share is bought. So, who has been buying these past 9-10 days? I thought yesterday as the markets went into freefall "somebody is making a shedfull of money". I've checked my pension valuation today and compared with 8th August 2015 it's down over £9000. This doesn't bother me as my pension policies do not mature until May 2017. Even then, with the new reforms I am not forced to take the pension at that point. I'm glad some sanity has entered the markets today - not before time mond. Exactly how much water and electric does United Utilities sell to China? Is B.T. likely to lose profit because Mr and Mrs Chan will no longer use them as their 'phone supplier? I don't think so. OK, Burberry and other niche suppliers to China will suffer but these are not heavyweights in the UK share index. Miners, commodities and Oil/Gas will suffer I'm sure and these definately form a vast part of the FTSE index. Anyone with some spare cash at the moment and with 20+ years to retirement should seriously consider putting a lump sum into your pension pot in the next day or two.
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25 August 2015