Opinion: mortgage timebomb is going to go off – and it’s not just lenders’ fault

Borrowers are burying their heads in the sand over how they will pay off their loans, putting their homes at risk.
There is a mounting crisis within the mortgage market.
Thousands of borrowers with interest-only mortgages are approaching the end of their mortgage term, which means they will need to pay the outstanding capital on their loan.
But the regulator, the Financial Conduct Authority, has admitted it is “very concerned” that a large number of them do not appear to have any idea how they are going to clear that balance, opening them up to the risk of losing their homes.
The thing is, interest-only has been seen as a timebomb in the mortgage market for a long time. So how is it that we are still no closer to defusing it?
On your lender's SVR? Switch to a more affordable mortgage deal today
‘Everyone should have an interest-only mortgage’
When I first started as a journalist, it was writing specifically about mortgages. I know, dream job right?
I’d been doing it for about a month when I went to cover an event in Edinburgh, interviewing a host of mortgage brokers about the property market.
This was March 2007, so the crash hadn’t hit yet and these brokers were bullish.
One of them was effusive in his praise for interest-only mortgages, and actually made the argument that everybody should want one really.
He was clear about the logic – you work out what the repayment would be on a normal repayment mortgage, and stick the difference between that and your actual interest-only bill into a savings account each month.
By the time you come to the end of your term, there’s no reason that you won’t have enough to cover the outstanding capital, and have a bit of extra cash left over at the end too.
Sounds perfect, doesn’t it?
But he was also very clear about precisely why it would never happen – many borrowers simply lacked the discipline to keep this up.
They would instead just cover the interest-only repayment each month, leaving the question of how to clear the outstanding capital for another day.
That session has stuck with me ever since, not least because he has been proven correct.
The interest-only timebomb would be no such thing if borrowers had actually demonstrated a little discipline and had a plan on how to pay off that capital. Instead, we are slowly walking headlong into a crisis.
Make sure you're on the cheapest possible repayment mortgage
Banks aren’t blameless
Now, that doesn’t mean that lenders are entirely without blame.
There’s no question that they were far too happy dishing out interest-only mortgages in the build-up to the financial crisis.
It seems incredible to think that any lender would hand over a loan the size of a typical mortgage without asking a few questions about exactly how the borrower planned to repay it.
The market was performing strongly and there was plenty of competition around, so they got lazy.
Why would you borrow like this?
But I find it equally shocking that anybody would want to take out a loan of that size without having a plan themselves on how to repay it.
And when it became clear that actually having some sort of plan in place would be a good idea, simply burying their heads in the sand rather than coming up with one or at least speaking to their lender about their options.
Yet that’s precisely what a large number of borrowers with interest-only mortgages are doing right now.
Lenders have been ordered to contact their customers with outstanding interest-only mortgages to find out what sort of plan – if any – they have for repaying what they owe.
And if they don’t have one, these lenders need to be proactive in helping them come up with something that will see them pay off the debt and remain in the property.
The trouble is that engagement rates are low.
In other words, these borrowers are not responding the letters.
There are currently 1.67 million outstanding interest-only mortgages, around one in every five home loans in the UK.
If even a fraction of those borrowers don’t know how they will clear that debt, that’s already a hell of a lot of people.
It’s not too late… yet
This is a crisis that has been avoidable every step along the way, and can still be sidestepped – but only if borrowers accept that they have a problem and do something about it.
Maybe you don’t want to think about it, or you’re embarrassed at the thought of having to phone your mortgage lender and say you need help.
I’d be embarrassed making that call too.
But I’d much rather face that embarrassment and come up with a way to keep my house, rather than risk losing everything.
Doing nothing ensures the worst possible outcome is also the most likely one.
Make sure you're on the cheapest possible repayment mortgage deal
Most Recent
Comments
-
The FCA doesn't like interest only mortgages. While we can argue whether they're right or wrong on that point, it is certainly true that due to the actions forced on lenders, borrowers are having to move onto repayment mortgages when they come to remortgage. Borrowers on SVR will not have to do this but are paying relatively high rates of interest compared to the lower cost fix rate repayment deals currently available. those who have owned their properties for many years will have substantial equity in their home and lenders will not be at risk. So a timebomb about to go off - Nah I just don't believe it!
REPORT This comment has been reported. -
First comment I want to make is to Lovemoney. Everytime I log into make a comment on this site now, Norton security reports that this is a suspicious site suspected of phishing. I'm not too concerned because I only use the password for this site and no others, so I think any phisher is going to be quite disappointed, but Lovemoney should look into it. There are a lot of comments on here of how people who had mortgages in the 70s 80s and 90s cleared their mortgages early, so I won't bore you with my story of how I did something similar. Something that is a bit of a concern is I don't think I have seen any comments from people who have a maturing IO mortgage which might indicate heads in the sand. Nikkio Wilson, I salute you for your achievement but the last sentence of your comment indicates what can go wrong. There are too many people with IO mortgages who don't earn enough or don't have the discipline to sort this problem out. This is exacerbated by the low interest rate, low inflation rate, low wage growth rate environemnt that has been imposed upon us since the 2008 crash. Inflation used to take care of a big chunk of this type of problem, because it meant wages grew alongside, but with a 10 year interest rate trough, quantitative easing, money for lending, partial equity mortgages all proping up the housing bubble, it is bound to burst at some point and these IO mortgages maturing could be the trigger.
REPORT This comment has been reported. -
We have had three interest only mortgages, the first in 1988 when endowments were supposed to pay them off but were underpaid. We paid capital sums off the mortgage when we had saved it up and had no issues but is was a tiny mortgage compared to today's standards. We paid it off in three years. Using this as evidence we moved house getting a £100000 interest only mortgage with no endowment and fortunately the bank agreed. We paid this off in 4 years. Finally we remortgaged our house to help family member buy her next home and got interest only mortgage of £160000.This was paid by the sale of her previous home after the move and then we paid it off in capital lump sums again and she paid us back. It can work but it means no flashy new car and careful purchases of furniture and holidays. We are lucky to earn enough to do this but it is possible with discipline.
REPORT This comment has been reported.
Do you want to comment on this article? You need to be signed in for this feature
17 September 2018